West Virginia vs Syracuse 10/21/2011

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West Virginia is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Syracuse. Geno Smith is averaging 282 passing yards and 2.31 TDs per simulation and Dustin Garrison is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 57% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Syracuse wins, Ryan Nassib averages 1.57 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.73 TDs to 0.93 interceptions. Antwon Bailey averages 112 rushing yards and 1.02 rushing TDs when Syracuse wins and 97 yards and 0.51 TDs in losses. West Virginia has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SYR +13.5 --- Over/Under line is 59

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